VK-IRA Run 01–33|Validation Closure & Benchmark Matrix
0. Executive decision
After Run 01–33, VK-IRA has enough architectural stabilization to release:
but not enough evidence to claim:
or a statistically certified detector accuracy.
The release means:
the architecture, object model, closure rules, governance rules, and cross-domain interface are stable enough for a first research specification.
It does not mean:
universality has been proven, or benchmark performance has been established on a representative population.
作者: Neo.K
機構: EveMissLab/一言諾科技有限公司
日期: 2026-10-07(整理日期;原稿未標註日期)
版本: 原稿未標註(本次整理版)
1. Scope of the first validation campaign
Numbered run entries:
The campaign covers materially different artifact families:
Theory / conceptual claims
Mathematics
Source representation
Software
Empirical research
History
Law
Physics
Data pipelines
Machine learning
Engineering / control
Laboratory / biology
Language / translation
Cross-representation composition
The important point is not raw domain count. It is that the same core primitives survived very different failure topologies:
- proof dependency;
- software call/runtime dependency;
- evidence dependency;
- historical transmission;
- legal amendment/authority;
- physical regime;
- data lineage;
- ML information flow;
- closed-loop feedback;
- contamination/assay provenance;
- semantic representation;
- cross-representation adapters.
2. What the campaign actually demonstrated
2.1 Detection is not mandatory
VK-IRA successfully produced:
and:
as distinct legitimate outcomes.
An architecture that always finds a defect is not a validator.
2.2 A miss is part of the evidence
Run 15A remains:
The predicted mechanism did not match the maintainer fixes.
2.3 An oracle can fail
Runs 13 and 14A established:
2.4 Error existence, localization, and repair are separate
2.5 Domain validity is indexed
2.6 Residual origin is not its downstream shadow
3. Benchmark accounting policy
A single global "accuracy" number is not reported.
The runs mix internal theory refinement, blind oracle tests, partial oracles, executable synthetic controls, historical source criticism, real engineering incidents, and negative controls.
Pooling them would create a meaningless denominator.
Instead VK-IRA v1.0 reports a structured ledger:
outcome_classes:
pass:
partial:
miss:
abstain:
blocked:
oracle_invalid:
do_not_score:
Performance metrics should be computed only inside comparable benchmark strata.
4. Important non-successes
Run 08
Math oracle was partial.
Run 12
No known correction was found; this is not proof of correctness.
Run 13
Independent residuals were found, but the selected future fix commit was irrelevant.
Run 14A
A notebook appeared heavily changed at file-stat level, but semantic source change was not established.
Run 15A
Semi-blind mechanism prediction was wrong.
Empirical full replay
A clean public-data + public-code + frozen blind audit + qualified later correction + full executable replay case remains open.
5. Release gates
| Gate | Requirement | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| G1 | Cross-domain breadth: ≥ 8 materially distinct domain/profile families | PASS | Theory, math, code, empirical, history, law, physics, data, ML, engineering/control, lab/bio, language, XREP. |
| G2 | Positive + negative behavior: Must support repair and abstention | PASS | Multiple paired positive/negative controls; explicit P_abstain since v0.4. |
| G3 | Failure preservation: At least one genuine miss retained | PASS | Run 15A semi-blind mechanism localization miss retained with score 0. |
| G4 | Oracle governance: Reject invalid oracle instead of retrofitting success | PASS | Runs 13 and 14A rejected candidate oracles from scoring. |
| G5 | Executable validation: At least three domains with executable replay | PASS | Code, data, ML, control, language-frame, XREP include executable checks. |
| G6 | Cross-representation composition: At least one end-to-end representation-chain test | PASS | Run 32–33 localizes Math→Code adapter failure and validates equivalent unit systems. |
| G7 | Residual causality: Distinguish origin from inherited manifestations | PASS | v0.14 first-failure rule + inherited manifestation state. |
| G8 | External empirical positive full replay: Public data/code, blind audit, later qualified correction, full replay | OPEN | Still not cleanly completed; access/oracle issues and Run 15A miss remain important. |
| G9 | Independent third-party reproduction: Architecture run by independent teams/models with frozen protocol | OPEN | Current evidence is generated inside this research program. |
| G10 | Statistical performance benchmark: Large preregistered corpus with precision/recall/FP/FN estimates | OPEN | Heterogeneous case studies are not a statistically representative benchmark. |
6. v1.0 release interpretation
Passing G1–G7 is enough to stabilize the research specification.
Open G8–G10 prevent stronger empirical claims.
specification_maturity: v1.0
domain_general_candidate: strong
universal_claim: false
statistical_performance_certified: false
independent_reproduction_complete: false
7. Strongest current claim
Supported meaning:
a common validity-kernel / residual / typed-causal-graph / adapter / closure framework has remained useful across materially different domains and can represent repair, abstention, negative controls, misses, oracle uncertainty, dynamic propagation, and cross-representation failure localization.
Not supported:
it detects all meaningful errors;
it is optimal;
it is universal;
it has a known precision/recall on the space of real-world errors.
8. Core architecture at closure
9. First campaign conclusion
The campaign began from:
It ended at:
Run 01–33 provide substantial evidence that the answer is sometimes yes across many different domains.
That is enough for a v1.0 research specification.
It is not enough to close the research program.