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lm-003946 · 2026-09

CSM_RH Paper 71 — Exact Singular-Series Extraction and the Averaged Hardy–Littlewood Pair-Residual Amplifier

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CSM_RH Paper 71

Exact Singular-Series Extraction and the Averaged Hardy–Littlewood Pair-Residual Amplifier

Project: CSM_RH
Paper: 71
Version: v0.1
Date: 2026-09-09
Campaign: 46 — SEEDED_ARITHMETIC_STRIP_GAP_GENERATION
Canonical root frontier: F-RH-017-v3
New arithmetic root subfrontier: F-RH-022 — AVERAGED_HARDY_LITTLEWOOD_PAIR_RESIDUAL_EXCESS
Status: LOCAL PAIR FACTOR EXACTLY EXTRACTED / ROOT AMPLIFIER MAP CERTIFIED / FIXED-POWER PAIR RESIDUAL OPEN
Canonical entry state: v1.61 / Paper 70 v0.1
RH_PROVED: FALSE
RH_DISPROVED: FALSE
GLOBAL_RH_CERTIFICATE: FALSE


Abstract

Papers 63–70 progressively removed scale-comparison, character-family, local-factor, and shifted-Möbius auxiliary routes from the shortest CSM_RH root path. The present paper returns to the original short-interval prime error

UH(n)=ψ(n+H)ψ(n)HU_H(n) = \psi(n+H)-\psi(n)-H

and expands its second moment directly into ordinary prime-pair correlations.

Set

Λ0(n)=Λ(n)1\Lambda_0(n)=\Lambda(n)-1

and

M2(N,H)=nN(h=1HΛ0(n+h))2.M_2(N,H) = \sum_{n\le N} \left( \sum_{h=1}^{H} \Lambda_0(n+h) \right)^2.

For distinct shifts define

E0(N;h1,h2)=nNΛ0(n+h1)Λ0(n+h2)NS0({h1,h2}),\boxed{ E_0(N;h_1,h_2) = \sum_{n\le N} \Lambda_0(n+h_1)\Lambda_0(n+h_2) - N\mathfrak S_0(\{h_1,h_2\}), }

where S0\mathfrak S_0 is the modified Hardy–Littlewood singular series of Montgomery–Soundararajan.

Define the complete pair residual

RHL(2)(N,H)=1h1,h2Hh1h2E0(N;h1,h2).\boxed{ \mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}(N,H) = \sum_{\substack{1\le h_1,h_2\le H\\h_1\ne h_2}} E_0(N;h_1,h_2). }

Montgomery and Soundararajan proved the exact singular-series average

R2(H)=1h1,h2Hh1h2S0({h1,h2})=HlogH+AH+Oε(H1/2+ε),\boxed{ R_2(H) = \sum_{\substack{1\le h_1,h_2\le H\\h_1\ne h_2}} \mathfrak S_0(\{h_1,h_2\}) = -H\log H + AH + O_\varepsilon(H^{1/2+\varepsilon}), }

with an explicit constant AA.

The diagonal prime-square term satisfies

hHnNΛ0(n+h)2=NHlogN+O(NH+H2log2N).\boxed{ \sum_{h\le H} \sum_{n\le N} \Lambda_0(n+h)^2 = NH\log N + O(NH+H^2\log^2N). }

Therefore the entire short-interval second moment decomposes as

M2(N,H)=NHlogNH+BNH+RHL(2)(N,H)+Oε(NH1/2+ε+H2log2N),\boxed{ M_2(N,H) = NH\log\frac NH + B\,NH + \mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}(N,H) + O_\varepsilon \left( NH^{1/2+\varepsilon} + H^2\log^2N \right), }

for a constant BB.

This is the key structural reduction of the paper.

The ordinary local arithmetic has already been solved:

  • the diagonal contributes NHlogNNH\log N ;
  • the averaged local singular series contributes NHlogH-NH\log H ;
  • together they produce the expected varianceNHlog(N/H).NH\log(N/H).

The only missing root quantity is the aggregate Hardy–Littlewood pair error RHL(2)\mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}.

Let

H=N1τ.H=N^{1-\tau}.

Suppose that for some fixed exponent ξ>0\xi>0,

RHL(2)(N,H)NH2Nξ+o(1).\boxed{ |\mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}(N,H)| \ll NH^2N^{-\xi+o(1)}. }

The solved local main term satisfies

NHlog(N/H)=NH2N(1τ)+o(1).NH\log(N/H) = NH^2 N^{-(1-\tau)+o(1)}.

Hence the short-interval lag energy has MLEPG exponent

δ=min{1τ,ξ}.\boxed{ \delta = \min\{1-\tau,\xi\}. }

Paper 54's seeded residue-chain theorem then gives

κ<Φpair(κ;τ,ξ):=min{1τ,ξ,κ+τ(2κ)}.\boxed{ \kappa' < \Phi_{\rm pair} (\kappa;\tau,\xi) := \min \left\{ 1-\tau,\, \xi,\, \kappa+\tau(2-\kappa) \right\}. }

Therefore:

Pair-residual strict amplifier gate

τ<1κ,ξ>κ.\boxed{ \tau<1-\kappa, \qquad \xi>\kappa. }

When these hold,

PESC(κ)PESC(κ+η)\operatorname{PESC}(\kappa) \Longrightarrow \operatorname{PESC}(\kappa+\eta)

for every fixed

0<η<min{1τκ,ξκ,τ(2κ)}.\boxed{ 0<\eta < \min \left\{ 1-\tau-\kappa,\, \xi-\kappa,\, \tau(2-\kappa) \right\}. }

This gives the new arithmetic root subfrontier

F-RH-022
AVERAGED_HARDY_LITTLEWOOD_PAIR_RESIDUAL_EXCESS

with target

RHL(2)(N,H)NH2Nκη\boxed{ |\mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}(N,H)| \ll NH^2N^{-\kappa-\eta} }

for some fixed η>0\eta>0 and some

H=N1τ,0<τ<1κ.H=N^{1-\tau}, \qquad 0<\tau<1-\kappa.

F-RH-022 is substantially weaker than a uniform Hardy–Littlewood twin-prime theorem for every shift. Only the fully aggregated pair-error sum is required.

The local singular-series cancellation is already rigorous. What remains is global cancellation of the errors around the singular series.

Current averaged prime-pair technology reaches precisely the same object, but only at logarithmic resolution.

Known results of Mikawa and Matomäki–Radziwiłł–Tao imply that the Hardy–Littlewood prime-pair asymptotic holds for all but logarithmically few shifts in long polynomial shift ranges. A standard L2L^2 formulation gives arbitrary fixed powers of logX\log X of averaged saving, but no fixed factor XηX^{-\eta}.

Thus in exponent language the current averaged pair theory supplies

ξ=o(1),\xi=o(1),

while F-RH-022 requires

ξ>κ.\xi>\kappa.

This is not a local-factor problem: Montgomery–Soundararajan's theorem has already evaluated the local singular-series average to lower order.

Nor is it an individual twin-prime problem: cancellation among the pair errors is explicitly allowed.

A smooth seed-boundary mode has short-interval second-moment scale

NH2Nκ,NH^2N^{-\kappa},

so the critical aggregate residual exponent is naturally ξ=κ\xi=\kappa. Any fixed excess beyond κ\kappa would remove that boundary contribution and activate the seeded amplifier.

The pair-residual route is therefore closer to the root observable than the shifted-Möbius auxiliary route and does not require an unproved additive pole-transport bridge.

F-RH-017-v3 remains the canonical general root frontier, but F-RH-022 is now the preferred ordinary-prime arithmetic subfrontier.

No RH theorem is claimed.


1. Short-interval second moment

Define

Λ0(n)=Λ(n)1.\boxed{ \Lambda_0(n)=\Lambda(n)-1. }

Then

UH(n)=h=1HΛ0(n+h).\boxed{ U_H(n) = \sum_{h=1}^{H} \Lambda_0(n+h). }

Set

M2(N,H)=nNUH(n)2.\boxed{ M_2(N,H) = \sum_{n\le N} U_H(n)^2. }

Expanding the square,

M2(N,H)=1h1,h2HnNΛ0(n+h1)Λ0(n+h2).\boxed{ M_2(N,H) = \sum_{1\le h_1,h_2\le H} \sum_{n\le N} \Lambda_0(n+h_1) \Lambda_0(n+h_2). }

Split into diagonal and distinct-shift contributions.


2. Diagonal term

Let

D2(N,H)=hHnNΛ0(n+h)2.D_2(N,H) = \sum_{h\le H} \sum_{n\le N} \Lambda_0(n+h)^2.

The prime number theorem and partial summation give

mXΛ(m)2=XlogX+O(X),\sum_{m\le X}\Lambda(m)^2 = X\log X + O(X),

at the precision needed here.

Since

Λ02=Λ22Λ+1,\Lambda_0^2 = \Lambda^2-2\Lambda+1,

we also have

mXΛ0(m)2=XlogX+O(X).\boxed{ \sum_{m\le X} \Lambda_0(m)^2 = X\log X + O(X). }

Shifting the NN -length interval by at most HH changes the sum by

O(Hlog2N).O(H\log^2N).

Summing over hh gives:

Theorem 2.1 — Diagonal prime-square term

D2(N,H)=NHlogN+O(NH+H2log2N).\boxed{ D_2(N,H) = NH\log N + O \left( NH + H^2\log^2N \right). }

Record:

B-RH-099
SHORT_INTERVAL_LAMBDA0_DIAGONAL_EQUALS_NH_LOG_N_AT_EXPONENT_RESOLUTION
CERTIFIED

3. Modified singular series

For a finite set D\mathcal D of distinct shifts, Montgomery and Soundararajan define the modified singular series

S0(D)=ID(1)IS(I).\boxed{ \mathfrak S_0(\mathcal D) = \sum_{\mathcal I\subseteq\mathcal D} (-1)^{|\mathcal I|} \mathfrak S(\mathcal I). }

The Hardy–Littlewood prime-tuple conjecture is equivalently written, for distinct shifts, as

nNdDΛ0(n+d)=NS0(D)+error.\sum_{n\le N} \prod_{d\in\mathcal D} \Lambda_0(n+d) = N\mathfrak S_0(\mathcal D) + \text{error}.

For D=2|\mathcal D|=2, define

E0(N;h1,h2)=nNΛ0(n+h1)Λ0(n+h2)NS0({h1,h2}).\boxed{ E_0(N;h_1,h_2) = \sum_{n\le N} \Lambda_0(n+h_1)\Lambda_0(n+h_2) - N\mathfrak S_0(\{h_1,h_2\}). }

No Hardy–Littlewood assumption is made in this definition.


4. Exact local singular-series average

Define

R2(H)=1h1,h2Hh1h2S0({h1,h2}).R_2(H) = \sum_{\substack{1\le h_1,h_2\le H\\h_1\ne h_2}} \mathfrak S_0(\{h_1,h_2\}).

Montgomery and Soundararajan prove:

Theorem 4.1 — Montgomery–Soundararajan local pair average

For every fixed ε>0\varepsilon>0,

R2(H)=HlogH+AH+Oε(H1/2+ε),\boxed{ R_2(H) = -H\log H + AH + O_\varepsilon \left( H^{1/2+\varepsilon} \right), }

where

A=2γlog(2π)A = 2-\gamma-\log(2\pi)

in their normalization.

This theorem is unconditional.

It is a theorem about the singular series itself, not about the actual prime-pair correlations.

Record:

B-RH-100
MODIFIED_SINGULAR_SERIES_PAIR_AVERAGE_PRODUCES_MINUS_H_LOG_H
CERTIFIED_EXTERNAL_THEOREM

5. Exact pair-error aggregate

Define

RHL(2)(N,H)=1h1,h2Hh1h2E0(N;h1,h2).\boxed{ \mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}(N,H) = \sum_{\substack{1\le h_1,h_2\le H\\h_1\ne h_2}} E_0(N;h_1,h_2). }

Then the distinct-shift contribution to M2M_2 is exactly

NR2(H)+RHL(2)(N,H).\boxed{ N R_2(H) + \mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}(N,H). }

Combining Sections 2 and 4:

Theorem 5.1 — Exact local-factor / global-residual decomposition

M2(N,H)=NHlogNH+BNH+RHL(2)(N,H)+Oε(NH1/2+ε+H2log2N),\boxed{ \begin{aligned} M_2(N,H) &= NH\log\frac NH + B\,NH + \mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}(N,H) \\ &\quad + O_\varepsilon \left( NH^{1/2+\varepsilon} + H^2\log^2N \right), \end{aligned} }

for an absolute constant BB depending only on the normalization of the diagonal and singular-series constants.

Record:

B-RH-101
ROOT_SHORT_INTERVAL_SECOND_MOMENT_EQUALS_SOLVED_LOCAL_VARIANCE_PLUS_AGGREGATE_HL_PAIR_ERROR
CERTIFIED

The numerical value of BB is irrelevant to every fixed-power conclusion below.


6. Solved local variance scale

Take

H=N1τ,0<τ<1.H=N^{1-\tau}, \qquad 0<\tau<1.

Then

NHlogNH=τNHlogN.NH\log\frac NH = \tau NH\log N.

Relative to the trivial MLEPG scale

NH2,NH^2, NHlogNH=NH2N(1τ)+o(1).\boxed{ NH\log\frac NH = NH^2 N^{-(1-\tau)+o(1)}. }

Thus the solved local arithmetic has lag exponent

δlocal=1τ.\boxed{ \delta_{\rm local} = 1-\tau. }

This is exactly the variance scale predicted by Montgomery–Soundararajan and by the pair-correlation philosophy.


7. Pair-residual power hypothesis

Assume

RHL(2)(N,H)NH2Nξ+o(1)\boxed{ |\mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}(N,H)| \ll NH^2 N^{-\xi+o(1)} }

for some fixed ξ>0\xi>0.

The lower-order terms in Theorem 5.1 have lag exponents at least 1τ1-\tau or larger at every fixed-power resolution relevant before the endpoint.

Therefore:

Theorem 7.1 — Pair-residual to MLEPG exponent

M2(N,H)NH2Nδ+o(1),\boxed{ M_2(N,H) \ll NH^2 N^{-\delta+o(1)}, }

with

δ=min{1τ,ξ}.\boxed{ \delta = \min \{1-\tau,\xi\}. }

Record:

B-RH-102
AVERAGED_HL_PAIR_RESIDUAL_POWER_CONVERTS_DIRECTLY_TO_MLEPG
CERTIFIED

8. Seeded PESC amplifier

Paper 54 proves that if

H=NαH=N^\alpha

and the lag exponent is δ\delta, then a PESC (κ)(\kappa) seed yields every exponent

κ<min{α,δ,2α(2κ)}.\kappa' < \min \left\{ \alpha,\, \delta,\, 2-\alpha(2-\kappa) \right\}.

Set

α=1τ.\alpha=1-\tau.

Using Theorem 7.1:

Theorem 8.1 — Averaged pair-residual amplifier map

κ<Φpair(κ;τ,ξ)=min{1τ,ξ,κ+τ(2κ)}.\boxed{ \kappa' < \Phi_{\rm pair} (\kappa;\tau,\xi) = \min \left\{ 1-\tau,\, \xi,\, \kappa+\tau(2-\kappa) \right\}. }

Create:

B-RH-103
AVERAGED_HARDY_LITTLEWOOD_PAIR_RESIDUAL_SEEDED_PESC_AMPLIFIER
CERTIFIED

9. Exact strict gate and gain

Strict amplification occurs iff every active term exceeds κ\kappa.

The anchor term satisfies

κ+τ(2κ)>κ\kappa+\tau(2-\kappa)>\kappa

for every τ>0\tau>0.

Thus the only nontrivial conditions are

1τ>κ\boxed{ 1-\tau>\kappa }

and

ξ>κ.\boxed{ \xi>\kappa. }

Equivalently:

Corollary 9.1 — Pair-residual strict amplifier gate

τ<1κ,ξ>κ.\boxed{ \tau<1-\kappa, \qquad \xi>\kappa. }

The gain may be any

0<η<min{1τκ,ξκ,τ(2κ)}.\boxed{ 0<\eta < \min \left\{ 1-\tau-\kappa,\, \xi-\kappa,\, \tau(2-\kappa) \right\}. }

This is one of the simplest arithmetic amplifier gates in Campaign 46.


10. Optimal scale if the pair residual is not the bottleneck

Suppose

ξ\xi

is large enough not to be active.

Balance

1τκ1-\tau-\kappa

with

τ(2κ).\tau(2-\kappa).

This gives

τ=1κ3κ.\boxed{ \tau_* = \frac{1-\kappa}{3-\kappa}. }

The corresponding gain is

η=(1κ)(2κ)3κ.\boxed{ \eta_* = \frac{ (1-\kappa)(2-\kappa) }{ 3-\kappa }. }

Thus a sufficiently strong pair-residual theorem would produce a substantial one-step bootstrap.


11. New arithmetic root subfrontier F-RH-022

Open:

F-RH-022
AVERAGED_HARDY_LITTLEWOOD_PAIR_RESIDUAL_EXCESS

Target:

for a PESC (κ)(\kappa) seed, find fixed

τ,η>0\tau,\eta>0

with

τ<1κ\tau<1-\kappa

such that

RHL(2)(N,N1τ)N(N1τ)2Nκη.\boxed{ |\mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}(N,N^{1-\tau})| \ll N \left( N^{1-\tau} \right)^2 N^{-\kappa-\eta}. }

This is a direct sufficient root theorem.

It requires no shifted-Möbius sampling bridge and no individual twin-prime asymptotic.


12. Why F-RH-022 is weaker than uniform twin primes

A uniform quantitative Hardy–Littlewood pair conjecture would require, for every relevant difference,

E0(N;h1,h2)E_0(N;h_1,h_2)

to be individually small.

F-RH-022 requires only

h1h2E0(N;h1,h2)\boxed{ \sum_{h_1\ne h_2} E_0(N;h_1,h_2) }

to be small.

Large positive and negative pair errors are allowed to cancel.

This is precisely the aggregate cancellation which Montgomery and Soundararajan identify as the missing ingredient when extending their moment theorem to large HH.

Thus F-RH-022 is a genuinely averaged prime-pair problem.


13. Current averaged Hardy–Littlewood technology

A strong average form of the prime-pair conjecture is known.

For prime indicators, current results imply that in polynomial shift ranges one has, for every fixed A>0A>0, an L2L^2 average of the form

rH1NN<n2N1P(n)1P(n+r)S(r)(π(N)N)22HlogA+2N\boxed{ \sum_{|r|\le H} \left| \frac1N \sum_{N<n\le2N} 1_{\mathbb P}(n) 1_{\mathbb P}(n+r) - \mathfrak S(r) \left( \frac{\pi(N)}N \right)^2 \right|^2 \ll \frac{ H }{ \log^{A+2}N } }

in the established ranges.

Mikawa proved almost-all prime-pair asymptotics for

HN1/3+ε,H\ge N^{1/3+\varepsilon},

and Matomäki–Radziwiłł–Tao improved the shift-window range to

HN8/33+εH\ge N^{8/33+\varepsilon}

for the relevant almost-all statement.

At exponent resolution, standard dyadic partial summation converts the logarithmically weighted von Mangoldt version into the same arbitrary logarithmic saving class.

Thus current technology controls the pair errors very strongly on average, but only by powers of logN\log N.


14. Why arbitrary logarithmic average is still subcritical

Suppose schematically that the weighted pair errors satisfy

rHEr(N)2HN2(logN)A\sum_{r\le H} |E_r(N)|^2 \ll H N^2 (\log N)^{-A}

for arbitrary fixed AA.

The triangular aggregate obeys Cauchy:

r<H(Hr)Er(N)(r<H(Hr)2)1/2(r<HEr(N)2)1/2NH2(logN)A/2.\begin{aligned} \left| \sum_{r<H} (H-r)E_r(N) \right| &\le \left( \sum_{r<H} (H-r)^2 \right)^{1/2} \left( \sum_{r<H} |E_r(N)|^2 \right)^{1/2} \\ &\ll \boxed{ NH^2 (\log N)^{-A/2}. } \end{aligned}

This is

NH2No(1),NH^2N^{-o(1)},

so its fixed-power exponent is

ξ=0\boxed{ \xi=0 }

in the CSM_RH ledger.

F-RH-022 requires

ξ>κ>0.\boxed{ \xi>\kappa>0. }

Therefore the current averaged Hardy–Littlewood theorem does not itself activate the seeded amplifier.

Create:

O-RH-162
CURRENT_AVERAGED_PRIME_PAIR_THEOREMS_GIVE_ARBITRARY_LOG_SAVING_BUT_NO_F_RH_022_FIXED_POWER
CERTIFIED_AS_EXTERNAL_TECHNOLOGY_GAP

15. Singular-series cancellation is not the missing power

Theorem 4.1 already gives a power-sized error

O(H1/2+ε)O(H^{1/2+\varepsilon})

for the purely local singular-series average.

Thus the local Euler-product geometry is known far more precisely than required for F-RH-022.

The missing term is solely

RHL(2).\boxed{ \mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)}. }

This is an important distinction.

The root problem is no longer:

understand the average singular series.

That part is solved.

It is:

prove fixed-power cancellation of the actual prime-pair errors around that local series.

16. Boundary criticality calibration

A smooth boundary prime-error mode with

β=1κ2\beta=1-\frac{\kappa}{2}

has fixed- HH lag energy

NH2Nκ\boxed{ NH^2N^{-\kappa} }

at exponent resolution.

When

τ<1κ,\tau<1-\kappa,

the solved local variance

NHlog(N/H)NH\log(N/H)

is smaller:

1τ>κ.1-\tau>\kappa.

Therefore a boundary-sized mode must live in the global pair-residual sector rather than in the local singular-series main term.

This calibrates

ξ=κ\boxed{ \xi=\kappa }

as the critical pair-residual exponent.

F-RH-022 asks for any fixed excess

ξ>κ.\boxed{ \xi>\kappa. }

The statement is a boundary-mode calibration, not a proof that an actual boundary zero gives a pointwise lower bound for RHL(2)\mathcal R_{\rm HL}^{(2)} at every scale.


17. Relation to pair correlation of zeta zeros

Goldston and Montgomery proved, under RH, that the strong pair-correlation conjecture for zeta zeros is equivalent to the corresponding second-moment asymptotic for primes in short intervals.

Montgomery and Soundararajan predict

M2(N,H)NHlog(N/H)\boxed{ M_2(N,H) \sim NH\log(N/H) }

in the polynomial short-interval range.

Thus the conjectural final scale corresponds to

δexpected=1τ.\boxed{ \delta_{\rm expected} = 1-\tau. }

For every seed satisfying

κ<1τ,\kappa<1-\tau,

this lies strictly beyond the current PESC exponent.

Hence the arithmetic target is compatible with the standard conjectural variance scale.

This is calibration only; RH or pair correlation is not assumed.


18. Campaign status

After Paper 71:

F-RH-017-v3:
CANONICAL GENERAL ROOT FRONTIER / OPEN.

F-RH-022:
PREFERRED ORDINARY-PRIME ARITHMETIC SUBFRONTIER / OPEN.

F-RH-020:
AUXILIARY PARITY-ENERGY FRONTIER / DE-PRIORITIZED.

F-RH-021R:
HIGH-COST AUXILIARY BRIDGE / DE-PRIORITIZED.

The direct arithmetic unknown is now:

fixed-power cancellation of the aggregate pair errors\boxed{ \text{fixed-power cancellation of the aggregate pair errors} }

after the singular-series main term has been exactly removed.


19. Recommended next action

The next round should inspect the proof of the modern averaged prime-pair theorem itself.

Question:

Can a PESC fixed-strip seed upgrade
the existing arbitrary-log averaged Hardy–Littlewood residual
to a fixed-power aggregate residual?

The audit should separate:

  1. local singular-series major arcs — already solved;
  2. polynomial-conductor frequencies — likely large-sieve suppressible;
  3. fixed low-conductor spectral channels;
  4. bilinear/minor-arc pair-error terms.

Unlike the shifted-Möbius route, every gain here feeds the root second moment directly.

No extra coercivity bridge is required.


20. External calibration

20.1. Montgomery–Soundararajan singular-series moments

H. L. Montgomery and K. Soundararajan, Primes in short intervals, Communications in Mathematical Physics 252 (2004), 589–617.

They prove

R2(H)=HlogH+AH+O(H1/2+ε)R_2(H) = -H\log H + AH + O(H^{1/2+\varepsilon})

and conjecture the short-interval second moment

M2(N,H)NHlog(N/H)M_2(N,H) \sim NH\log(N/H)

in polynomial ranges.

URL:

https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0409258

20.2. Averaged prime-pair results

Modern averaged Hardy–Littlewood results imply prime-pair asymptotics for almost all shifts with arbitrary logarithmic exceptional savings.

A convenient summary is in:

N. Evans, Correlations of almost primes, Mathematical Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 173 (2022).

The introduction records the prime-pair L2L^2 averaged estimate and the ranges obtained by Mikawa and by Matomäki–Radziwiłł–Tao.

URL:

https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/mathematical-proceedings-of-the-cambridge-philosophical-society/article/correlations-of-almost-primes/08F8E4E4C36F68ED6DDA373CCAF7A221


21. State transition

Advance candidate state

v1.61v1.62.v1.61 \to v1.62.

Add:

B-RH-099
SHORT_INTERVAL_LAMBDA0_DIAGONAL_EQUALS_NH_LOG_N_AT_EXPONENT_RESOLUTION

B-RH-100
MODIFIED_SINGULAR_SERIES_PAIR_AVERAGE_PRODUCES_MINUS_H_LOG_H

B-RH-101
ROOT_SHORT_INTERVAL_SECOND_MOMENT_EQUALS_SOLVED_LOCAL_VARIANCE_PLUS_AGGREGATE_HL_PAIR_ERROR

B-RH-102
AVERAGED_HL_PAIR_RESIDUAL_POWER_CONVERTS_DIRECTLY_TO_MLEPG

B-RH-103
AVERAGED_HARDY_LITTLEWOOD_PAIR_RESIDUAL_SEEDED_PESC_AMPLIFIER

O-RH-162
CURRENT_AVERAGED_PRIME_PAIR_THEOREMS_GIVE_ARBITRARY_LOG_SAVING_BUT_NO_F_RH_022_FIXED_POWER

Open:

F-RH-022
AVERAGED_HARDY_LITTLEWOOD_PAIR_RESIDUAL_EXCESS
OPEN_ROOT_SUBFRONTIER

No RH certificate is created.


22. Conclusion

The local pair arithmetic is not the unresolved part of the short-interval variance.

Montgomery–Soundararajan already proved that its aggregate contributes

HlogH-H\log H

and converts the diagonal

NHlogNNH\log N

into the correct

NHlog(N/H)NH\log(N/H)

variance scale.

The entire remaining root uncertainty is the aggregate error of the actual prime-pair correlations around the Hardy–Littlewood local prediction.

If that aggregate saves any fixed exponent beyond the current PESC seed,

ξ>κ,\xi>\kappa,

at a scale

H=N1τ,τ<1κ,H=N^{1-\tau}, \qquad \tau<1-\kappa,

the seeded amplifier fires immediately.

This is F-RH-022.

It is currently the shortest ordinary-prime arithmetic subproblem in the CSM_RH campaign.