CSM_RH Paper 17
Mesoscopic Lag-Energy Power Gain and the First Direct PESC Theorem Candidate
Project: CSM_RH
Paper: 17
Version: v0.1
Date: 2026-09-05
Parent state: CSM_RH v1.7 / Paper 16
Campaign: 16 — DIRECT_PESC_THEOREM_GENERATION
Status: direct theorem-candidate generation / deterministic bridge certification; not a proof or disproof of RH
0. Trust boundary
This paper does not prove or disprove the Riemann Hypothesis.
Canonical root state:
RH_PROVED = FALSE
RH_DISPROVED = FALSE
GLOBAL_RH_CERTIFICATE = FALSE
CSM_RH_ROOT_STATUS = OPEN
Campaign 16 changes research mode.
The canonical target no longer moves:
F-RH-010
PESC
The goal is to generate one concrete lemma which:
- is not PESC merely renamed;
- does not assume a fixed zero strip;
- contains a genuine fixed-power source;
- has a certified deterministic bridge back to PESC / PODEE.
The first candidate surviving those filters is a mesoscopic lag-energy estimate.
No live GLM-5.3-Flash run is claimed.
1. Work first with the von Mangoldt error
Define
Define
up to the harmless integer convention.
Paper 10 already established that for every fixed
prime-power stripping transfers a dyadic fixed-power mean-square estimate between and at exponent level.
Therefore a first fixed-strip theorem may be proved on the / side.
2. Mesoscopic lag energy
For an integer lag
define
Since
this is a global discrete Selberg-type increment energy at one fixed additive scale.
3. Deterministic residue-chain inequality
The key bridge does not use any arithmetic.
Let
be integers.
Let
be any complex sequence.
For
define
Let
Then:
Theorem 3.1 — Residue-Chain Energy Inequality
Proof
Fix one residue
Write every index in that residue class as
For each admissible ,
Hence
There are at most
indices in each residue class, and
Summing first in and then in gives the stated inequality.
4. Arithmetic specialization
Apply Theorem 3.1 with
and
Chebyshev bounds give
hence
Therefore:
Corollary 4.1 — Lag-to-Global Energy Bridge
All logarithmic refinements of the initial term are irrelevant at fixed exponent level.
This is the certified bridge for Campaign 16.
5. Candidate theorem: Mesoscopic Lag-Energy Power Gain
Fix constants
and
Set
Define:
MLEPG
The first term is the expected diagonal / prime-variance scale.
The second term permits a much larger remainder than the conjectural main scale when
Thus MLEPG does not require a full asymptotic formula for the Selberg integral.
It asks only for a fixed-power improvement over the completely unresolved scale
6. Fixed-power consequence
Insert MLEPG into Corollary 4.1.
We obtain
For
and sufficiently small fixed
the initial residue term is harmless.
Therefore:
Theorem 6.1 — MLEPG Implies a Fixed PNT Mean-Square Power
If MLEPG holds for fixed
then
for some fixed
One may take any sufficiently small
For
the third quantity is not the active restriction when is chosen small.
By the established CSM_RH bridges, this gives PODEE / PESC at a fixed exponent below the prime-power barrier, and hence a fixed zeta zero strip.
No such MLEPG theorem is proved here.
7. Why MLEPG is not PESC merely renamed
PESC controls the absolute cumulative error through
MLEPG controls only one additive difference scale:
A sequence may have a large slowly varying low-frequency component while having much smaller increments at one scale.
Thus the two statements are not identical by definition.
The residue-chain theorem supplies the nontrivial deterministic bridge.
This is exactly the type of candidate Campaign 16 permits.
8. Correlation expansion of the lag energy
Let
Ignoring only endpoint truncation notation, the standard expansion is
The kernel
is the discrete Fejér / triangular kernel.
Thus MLEPG is equivalent to obtaining a fixed-power saving in one signed triangular average of centered prime-pair correlations, together with standard diagonal and boundary estimates.
9. Hardy–Littlewood decomposition
For nonzero shifts define schematically
The triangular sum splits into:
- the diagonal;
- the singular-series deterministic average;
- the weighted correlation-error aggregate.
The first two are not the new Campaign 16 obstruction.
The prime-pair singular series has the precise Cesàro expansion
with a much sharper known unconditional estimate for the error than the scale.
Thus the fixed-power question localizes to the actual prime-pair correlation errors.
10. Current averaged Hardy–Littlewood input
Matomäki, Radziwiłł, and Tao prove that for
the Hardy–Littlewood prime-pair asymptotic holds for all but a logarithmically small proportion of shifts, with individual good-shift error
for every fixed .
The exceptional set also has arbitrary logarithmic density saving.
After crude control of exceptional shifts, this yields an error budget
after changing .
11. The triangular-kernel precision loss
MLEPG does not sum with unit weights.
It carries the triangular weight
Direct absolute transfer from the current averaged Hardy–Littlewood theorem gives only
This is the exact current precision floor.
After the residue-chain bridge,
Hence current average-Hardy–Littlewood technology produces only subpower global energy through this route.
This matches the Campaign 15 classification.
12. The new fixed-power request is weaker than shiftwise power saving
A much stronger theorem would be:
for every or almost every shift.
Campaign 16 does not ask for that.
It asks only for cancellation in the one aggregate
A sufficient new estimate is
Individual shifts may remain much larger.
Therefore the candidate theorem is genuinely a signed-average power theorem, not a uniform Hardy–Littlewood power theorem.
13. Candidate interface: Triangular Signed Hardy–Littlewood Power Gain
Create the proof-interface name:
TSHLPG
TRIANGULAR_SIGNED_HARDY_LITTLEWOOD_POWER_GAIN
For
TSHLPG is the assertion that the endpoint-compatible triangular aggregate of prime-pair errors satisfies
After standard diagonal, singular-series, and dyadic assembly, TSHLPG implies MLEPG.
TSHLPG is a proof interface.
MLEPG is the cleaner theorem candidate because it avoids dependence on a particular Hardy–Littlewood centering convention.
14. Natural first scale
The strongest classical long-shift theorem for begins at
Therefore the first natural candidate scale is
At this scale, any fixed
in MLEPG or TSHLPG would produce a fixed global power.
If
the resulting exponent gain is essentially
If
the lag length itself becomes the bottleneck and one obtains essentially
15. Candidate strength classification
MLEPG is breakthrough-strength.
It is not a low-strength theorem.
But it passes the Campaign 16 design filters:
NOT merely a definition of PESC
PASS
fixed exponent enters explicitly
PASS
does not assume a fixed zero strip
PASS
has a certified bridge to PESC
PASS
current theorem comparison available
PASS
current best gives only log-power analogue
PASS
Status:
SURVIVOR
16. Rejected candidate: shiftwise Hardy–Littlewood power saving
Candidate:
for almost all shifts.
Status:
REJECTED AS UNNECESSARILY STRONG
Reason:
TSHLPG needs only one signed triangular aggregate to save a power.
Demanding a power for individual shifts adds proof obligations not required by PESC.
17. Rejected candidate: Fejér-frequency power theorem as a new target
By Fourier expansion, the lag energy can be written with a Fejér kernel against a prime exponential-sum energy.
This is useful analytically.
But defining the Fourier form as another canonical frontier would only re-represent MLEPG.
Status:
REJECTED AS REPRESENTATION ONLY
It may be used inside the proof.
18. Rejected candidate: another positive prime-pair variance
Replacing the signed triangular correlation error by
creates a stronger positive gate.
Campaign 15 already classified such variance gates as stronger than the minimal signed target.
Status:
REJECTED AS STRONGER POSITIVE SURROGATE
19. New canonical theorem candidate
Create:
F-RH-016
MESOSCOPIC_LAG_ENERGY_POWER_GAIN
abbrev:
MLEPG
status:
OPEN
type:
DIRECT THEOREM CANDIDATE
This is the first new frontier created after the representation-generation stop rule.
It is permitted because it is a concrete sufficient lemma with a proved deterministic bridge, not an equivalent restatement declared canonical for its own sake.
PESC remains the root target.
20. New obstruction: triangular kernel amplification
Create:
O-RH-038
TRIANGULAR_KERNEL_LOG_TO_POWER_GAP
status:
CERTIFIED
Statement:
Almost-all per-shift Hardy–Littlewood errors of size become after direct triangular weighting. The residue-chain bridge then returns only . A fixed power must therefore arise from signed cancellation across shifts or from a stronger local theorem.
21. New survivor
Create:
S-RH-025
TRIANGULAR_SIGNED_PRIME_PAIR_ERROR_CANCELLATION
status:
OPEN
This is the principal proof mechanism for MLEPG.
It asks for power cancellation across shifts before absolute values are taken.
22. Campaign 16 verdict
Campaign 16 generated several candidates.
The result is:
SHIFTWISE POWER HL
too strong
FOURIER / FEJER REFORMULATION
representation only
POSITIVE PRIME-PAIR VARIANCE
stronger surrogate
MESOSCOPIC LAG-ENERGY POWER GAIN
survives
TRIANGULAR SIGNED ERROR CANCELLATION
first concrete attack mechanism
No fixed-power theorem is proved.
23. Campaign 17
The next campaign is:
CSM_RH Campaign 17
TRIANGULAR_SIGNED_ERROR_POWER_ATTACK
The canonical root target remains PESC.
The working theorem candidate is MLEPG.
The proof interface is TSHLPG.
24. Campaign 17 attack directions
T1 — Circle-method cancellation across shifts
Do not estimate each shift independently.
Insert the triangular kernel before major/minor arc separation and test whether the Fejér localization creates a fixed-power minor-arc gain unavailable shiftwise.
T2 — Correlated exceptional-set cancellation
Current MRT exceptional shifts are controlled absolutely.
Test whether their signed triangular contribution has stronger cancellation than their cardinality bound.
T3 — Major-arc residual cancellation
The singular-series main term is already understood.
Audit whether the residual major-arc errors possess cancellation across after the triangular kernel is inserted.
T4 — Multiplicative-frequency averaging
MRT convert additive-frequency local energy into Dirichlet-polynomial mean values.
Test whether keeping the complete triangular shift average before Cauchy–Schwarz exposes an additional mean-value gain.
T5 — Hybrid short-interval theorem
Seek MLEPG directly as a Selberg-increment energy theorem without resolving individual pair correlations.
25. Campaign 17 rejection filters
Reject a candidate if:
R1. It takes absolute values in before the proposed new cancellation.
R2. It simply assumes power-saving Hardy–Littlewood for almost every shift.
R3. It uses PODEE/PESC as an input to estimate the lag energy.
R4. It replaces by .
R5. It counts the singular-series Cesàro expansion as the missing theorem.
R6. It hides a fixed zero-free half-plane inside an exponential-sum input.
26. External calibration
Current literature gives the correct location of the new gap.
Matomäki–Radziwiłł–Tao prove averaged Hardy–Littlewood for in shift windows of length at least , with arbitrary logarithmic savings over the trivial error for almost all shifts.
Their proof obtains only logarithmic savings in the relevant prime-correlation minor-arc estimates; power savings are available or expected in some divisor-function cases but not supplied for the von Mangoldt pair correlation.
The prime-pair singular-series Cesàro mean has the expansion
and Vaughan's unconditional estimate places far below the scale.
- Selberg-integral theory identifies the same triangular correlation kernel as the natural variance of primes in short intervals.
Thus the missing fixed power is localized to the actual prime-correlation residual, not to deterministic singular-series averaging.
27. State transition
The canonical transition is:
CSM_RH v1.7
->
CSM_RH v1.8
with:
Campaign 16
CLOSED_AS_FIRST_DIRECT_THEOREM_GENERATION_ROUND
F-RH-010
PESC
REMAINS ROOT TARGET / OPEN
F-RH-016
MLEPG
CREATED / OPEN / DIRECT THEOREM CANDIDATE
O-RH-038
TRIANGULAR_KERNEL_LOG_TO_POWER_GAP
CREATED / CERTIFIED
S-RH-025
TRIANGULAR_SIGNED_PRIME_PAIR_ERROR_CANCELLATION
CREATED / OPEN
Campaign 17
TRIANGULAR_SIGNED_ERROR_POWER_ATTACK
READY
28. Final status
RH = OPEN
PESC = OPEN / ROOT TARGET
REPRESENTATION GENERATION = STOPPED
FIRST DIRECT NEW LEMMA CANDIDATE = MLEPG
CURRENT AVERAGE HL ANALOGUE = LOG-POWER ONLY
FIXED-POWER SOURCE NEEDED = SIGNED TRIANGULAR ERROR CANCELLATION
MLEPG PROVED = NO
NEXT CAMPAIGN = 17
The concrete new theorem candidate is:
for some fixed
A natural first scale is
The deterministic residue-chain theorem then converts any such fixed into a fixed global prime-number-theorem mean-square power and hence back into the canonical PESC branch.